2007 PREDICTIONS, REVEALED

With 343 voters counted, here is what the wisdom of the NWN crowd predicts in Second Life's near future-- that is, by the end of 2007:

1. Server problems force Linden to cap concurrent log-ins during peak periods.
2. Linden announces it's on an IPO track-- or partners with/is purchased by a major company.
3. Regular Residents-- people who log in at least once a week three months after account creation-- surpasses one million.

Read the full tally here.  Come late December, we'll check back in to see how close these predictions (and those which didn't make the final three) came to reality.

Comments

[SignpostMarv Martin]

Logged In Last 60 Days: 1,007,488

[Rez]

What will the numbers for the last 60 days have to show for us to be able to infer there were a million a week?

[Hamlet Au]

I give up on inferring anything meaningful from that 60 day thing, because it also includes new, one-time sign-ups.

[Ana]

Second Life-based income is already taxable. Or was that meant to imply you would directly have to account for your unrealized $Lindens in your avie's account?

[Torley]

That's a really close race for those three.

[SignpostMarv Martin]

Ana: Last I checked, the L$ wasn't a legally recognisable currency, and wasn't legally a currency anyway (check the wording in the TOS), so it's hardly anywhere near taxable. Your transactions on the LindeX however, probably are- even if the US$ balance is left on your SL account to pay for tier and account fees.

[Luis Villa]

A transaction doesn't have to involve currency to be taxable; barter of non-currency goods is perfectly taxable (at least in the US; google suggests it is also true in the UK and Canada.) The transaction just has to be valuable in dollars somehow- which the Lindex makes quite easy. See the IRS's docs on the subject.