New World Reader Survey: 60% Predict Substantial SL Growth in 2009

Here's the results of my latest reader survey: with 332 votes received, 60% predict there will be 600K or more monthly active Second Life users by the end of this year.  (Currently it's about 500K, give or take 50K every month.)  Over a quarter of our respondents predict that number will stay roughly the same, while almost 15% believe the usage rates will drop.

Now that the results are in, what's my take?  Barring a drastic change to SL's server architecture, anything close to a million seems highly doubtful.  I think a more plausible guess is somewhere in the vicinity of 750,000.  That also happens to be pretty much what Cory Ondrejka thinks, and he knows better than me.

Comments

[Morris Vig]

Does this include bots?

[Hamlet Au]

Heh. Far as I know, the bots don't show up in the stats page. In any case, third party services like Comscore can also report unique users.