« The Top 20 Most Popular Sims of Second Life For 2009 | Main | New Year Survey: How Many Active Second Life Users Will There Be in 2010? How About Maximum Concurrent Users? »

Friday, January 01, 2010


Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.


A takeover is an interesting idea but seems less likely to me if it's true that SL concurrency (and by implication relevancy) is on a downward slide. No-one with any business sense buys a company at that point - you wait till it almost folds and buy it dirt-cheap in a rescue deal. Then you try to resurrect it phoenix-style, minus all the elements (or personnel) you didn't like. There may be some vultures circling, but they won't pounce just yet.

Second Lie

I predict that in 2010, 2 and 0 keys wear out just as often, 9's wear out a lot less, 1's wear out a lot faster.

(channeling Kevin Nealon)

Gwyneth Llewelyn

OpenSim has 5,000 active users... just at IBM alone. Guess who's bearing the burden of the more complex permission issues on interop ;)

So curiously the reason why I think that interop will exist is not to join all those hippy, techie, Stallmann-y OpenSim grids to SL, but to get the corporate grids by IBM, Intel, and other huge investors in OpenSim to interconnect to both SL and SL Enterprise...

Hamlet Au

Gwyn, you could be right, but I think IBM will shift a lot of its emphasis from interop to "through the firewall" solutions. Also, it's my impression Intel is trying to launch its own version of OpenSim as the standard, not Second Life, while a lot of leading figures in the OpenSim developer community aren't totally behind the interop standards LL and IBM are pushing.

Gwyneth Llewelyn

Oh, yes, I'm sure of that. The point is, even if Intel wants to launch a virtual world of their own based on OpenSim, to avoid the inevitable comparisons — "there is nobody in your world! no content! no economy!" — what would make sense is to start from Day One connected to the SL Grid :) And, of course, the same would apply to IBM as well...

... oh, and a takeover by IBM or Intel would definitely be possible, although I seriously doubt about it. ;)

Hamlet Au

I dunno, Gwyn, Intel's play seems to be a limited-use research grid (i.e. "Science Sim") so I'm not sure they have an incentive to show a large user base. Or enable asset transfer between their OS grid and others.

Arcadia Codesmith

Here's a prediction for 2010: The alpha transparency bug will not be fixed.

Yeah, I know. I'm playing it safe.

Ferd Frederix

OpenSim is not secure enough to support an economy.

I posted a few funny ideas of what Bill or Steve Jobs might say if Microsoft bought the Lab at http://secondlife.mitsi.com/Secondlife/Posters/

Feel free to add your own ideas!

Verify your Comment

Previewing your Comment

This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.

Your comment could not be posted. Error type:
Your comment has been posted. Post another comment

The letters and numbers you entered did not match the image. Please try again.

As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.

Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.


Post a comment

Your Information

(Name is required. Email address will not be displayed with the comment.)

Wagner James Au
Wagner James "Hamlet" Au
Dutchie 0223 Masssage table Slideshow
my site ... ... ...

PC/Mac readers recommend for SL:

Classic New World Notes stories:

Linden Limit Libertarianism: Metaverse community management illustrates the problems with laissez faire governance (2008)

The Husband That Eshi Made: Metaverse artist, grieving for her dead husband, recreates him as an avatar (2008)

Labor Union Protesters Converge On IBM's Metaverse Campus: Leaders Claim Success, 1850 Total Attendees (Including Giant Banana & Talking Triangle) (2007)

All About My Avatar: The story behind amazing strange avatars (2007)

Fighting the Front: When fascists open an HQ in Second Life, chaos and exploding pigs ensue (2007)

Copying a Controversy: Copyright concerns come to the Metaverse via... the CopyBot! (2006)

The Penguin & the Zookeeper: Just another unlikely friendship formed in The Metaverse (2006)

"—And He Rezzed a Crooked House—": Mathematician makes a tesseract in the Metaverse — watch the videos! (2006)

Guarding Darfur: Virtual super heroes rally to protect a real world activist site (2006)

The Skin You're In: How virtual world avatar options expose real world racism (2006)

Making Love: When virtual sex gets real (2005)

Watching the Detectives: How to honeytrap a cheater in the Metaverse (2005)

The Freeform Identity of Eboni Khan: First-hand account of the Black user experience in virtual worlds (2005)

Man on Man and Woman on Woman: Just another gender-bending avatar love story, with a twist (2005)

The Nine Souls of Wilde Cunningham: A collective of severely disabled people share the same avatar (2004)

Falling for Eddie: Two shy artists divided by an ocean literally create a new life for each other (2004)

War of the Jessie Wall: Battle over virtual borders -- and real war in Iraq (2003)

Home for the Homeless: Creating a virtual mansion despite the most challenging circumstances (2003)

Newstex_Author_Badge-Color 240px