What if all our excitement over Oculus Rift and HTV-Vive's headsets was a bit misplaced, because that hardware is not destined to lead the industry? That's the top takeaway of a new forecast from IHS Technology, which forecasts that Sony's Morpheus system will lead both Oculus and Vive, with the real lead taken by Google Cardboard and Samsung Gear, capturing half the market next year.
Now that they mention it, that sounds right: Sony has been in entertainment electronics longer than any of the other competitors, and its Morpheus is compatible with its Playstation 4 system, with its 37 million unit install base. I am, however, skeptical that Samsung Gear and Google Cardboard will command such a strong lead:
While Gear is pretty impressive, the smartphone and the VR head-mounted display aren't exactly compatible devices, in terms of usage. (See: People using Gear on the subway.) And Google Cardboard is such a low end device, to the point that it's a New York Times stock stuffer, I suspect it'll be used by most of its owners once or twice - but never again.
As for IHS's global forecast looking five year ahead:
The world installed base forecast for virtual reality headsets is 38m by end of 2020.
I'd say that's still on the high side, but certainly more plausible than KZero's estimate of 83M VR headset owners by 2018.
Hat tip: Gamastura.
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can understand why this analyst being in the game industry is kinda bullish on this
i think tho that when look at the mobile.smarts overall then maybe not so bullish
here tells the actual story of mobile.smarts
http://avc.com/2015/10/messengers-movies-music/
Posted by: irihapeti | Wednesday, October 28, 2015 at 06:12 AM
can understand why this analyst being in the game industry is kinda bullish on this
i think tho that when look at the mobile.smarts overall then maybe not so bullish
here tells the actual story of mobile.smarts
http://avc.com/2015/10/messengers-movies-music/
Posted by: irihapeti | Wednesday, October 28, 2015 at 06:12 AM