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Monday, August 01, 2022

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Mondy

I'm wondering where you think active users 'hang out' to discuss what they're playing and using their Quests for ?
Most of the time it seems to be in reddit, at least that's what I'm finding and also, Steam and the Quest store isn't really where you're going to be finding all the latest buzz. Sidequest is where most people are picking up what's being actively played and talked about. Even when something makes it onto applab, people are still getting it most of the time through Sidequest and discussing it on reddit, watching YouTube content streamers and Twitch streamers, actively talking about it on their feeds as people play.
I'm constantly hearing VR is dying or it's over and had it's day. A couple of years ago it was that it was never going to take off! Does that sound familiar? It's the same thing people say about Second life. Often by the type of people that have never tried it or never use it.

Joey1058

Well, I had a Q2 for about 6 months, and sold it at a loss. I was finally able to see what all the VR hype was about, and I didn't have a proper reason to keep it. My focus has been, and always will be mixed reality. And I don't feel that in a Q2, with my peripheral vision blocked off. So if Zuck is looking for 10M active users, then Meta missed the boat. Let's hope they stay afloat for the next wave.

Mondy

I think it's worth pointing out that the Quest store can't pick up how many people are using Quests for PCVR, some of the most active people I know in the Quest community have Quest 2's as a gateway into PCVR gaming, not for games on the Quest store, and as in my previous comment, most of the better games coming out now and in the last year have been on Sidequest and AppLab which isn't reflected in the Quest store figures. Of the ones you mention as being most popular, of course something like roller coasters is going to be, it's a novelty value most people will want to try, not something people will use over and over, like Richie's plank experience, massive downloads but only to show friends at parties. As for Beat Sabre, it's a great game , and there are others there you left off such as Contractors, Golf+, Eleven table tennis, Population One (which recently had a massive update) that constantly get great reviews, regular updates and large numbers playing them.

Watchring

Most people are likely picking apps they enjoy and sticking with them. Rec Room, VRChat, Gorilla Tag, and Pavlov are big ones for sure, but you won't find the latter on this list since they are on AppLab.

Additionally, we're probably not seeing any 2022 titles on this list because there hasn't been anything worthy of it if we're being realistic. BONELAB will probably be the next thing up there when that releases later this year.

I also don't think it's a problem if only about 50% of users are active, as that would put it in line with retention estimates for modern game consoles.

lieisacake

VR has awful retention, and even for the users that are "active" most don't actually use it all that much. Linked below is a large survey that was performed just after the Quest 2's most significant holiday sales period: https://www.reddit.com/r/oculus/comments/u22ers/new_vr_market_research_26_of_teens_own_a_vr/ And over a period of 6-12 months and longer, you will see these numbers get much, much worse.

This would be fine if there wasn't so much hype and it was actually treated like any other early technology. But that's not what's happening: VR is being hyped up, subsidized, and invested in like a mainstream technology. Facebook is desperately looking for the "next big thing" so they can dominate it and cement their data collection platform on it before the existing big consumer platforms can monopolize it, and they've chosen VR and AR as candidates. Think of other major technologies and imagine if they were aggressively hyped up and subsidized while they were still premature. You would see similar results.

There are a few major theories for why consumers don't stick with it (at least with the modern rendition of the tech) but that's another discussion.

Wagner James Au

Yikes! Thanks for the link!

Mondy

That was hardly a 'large' survey. Just over 7000 of 10 million? and of those only 25% even owned a headset. so they weren't even surveying a majority of people that owned one. I commented in that thread 4 months ago and asked what would the results have been if they had surveyed people from the Occulus sub-reddits?
I'm betting pretty different. Surveys and statistics don't show the whole picture. If they did then the home computer revolution would never have taken off either, something else that was massively hyped in the 80's and 90's. Who remembers hearing "We bought a computer but now it's just up in the attic"?
I'm beginning to sound like a Facebook evangelist with this being my 3rd post but far from it. I can't wait for a Facebook login to no longer be a requirement as they promised later this month, but there are a lot of companies in VR, many better than Meta, Meta just happen to be the entry level right now and the amount of bull and fud going around is unbelievable.

Sven Viking

“ If Quest 2's install base really was highly active, shouldn't we see at least one or two new games in the top of the charts?”

Not disagreeing with your overall point but I thought Gun Raiders was relatively new?

Interestingly one of the most popular games, Gorilla Tag, isn’t in the list because they still won’t allow it on the main store.

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